{"id":36371,"date":"2023-10-02T07:30:44","date_gmt":"2023-10-02T10:30:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.funverde.org.br\/blog\/?p=36371"},"modified":"2023-09-26T15:31:45","modified_gmt":"2023-09-26T18:31:45","slug":"net-zero-depende-de-corte-de-25-na-demanda-de-fosseis-ate-2030","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.funverde.org.br\/blog\/net-zero-depende-de-corte-de-25-na-demanda-de-fosseis-ate-2030\/","title":{"rendered":"Net zero depende de corte de 25% na demanda de f\u00f3sseis at\u00e9 2030"},"content":{"rendered":"

Por S\u00e9rgio Teixeira Jr.<\/a> – ReSet – 26 de setembro de 2023 – Investimentos em renov\u00e1veis ter\u00e3o de passar de US$ 1,8 tri anuais para US$ 4,5 tri nos pr\u00f3ximos sete anos.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Ainda h\u00e1 chances de evitar consequ\u00eancias ainda mais graves da mudan\u00e7a clim\u00e1tica, mas isso depender\u00e1 de um corte radical no uso de combust\u00edveis f\u00f3sseis no futuro imediato, acompanhado por investimentos anuais de US$ 4,5 trilh\u00f5es em energias limpas.<\/p>\n

Essas s\u00e3o as duas principais conclus\u00f5es do novo\u00a0Net Zero Roadmap<\/a>, levantamento da Ag\u00eancia Internacional de Energia que atualiza cen\u00e1rios projetados dois anos atr\u00e1s para que o mundo atinja a neutralidade de carbono em 2050.<\/p>\n

A demanda por petr\u00f3leo, g\u00e1s natural e carv\u00e3o precisa cair 25% at\u00e9 2030 para que a temperatura global n\u00e3o suba mais que 1,5\u00b0C em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com a era pr\u00e9-industrial.<\/p>\n

A AIE afirma que \u201cpol\u00edticas estritas e efetivas\u201d ser\u00e3o necess\u00e1rias para isso.<\/p>\n

\u201cAlguns v\u00e3o dizer que \u00e9 dif\u00edcil. \u00c9 muito, muito dif\u00edcil. \u00c9 uma tarefa herc\u00falea\u201d, disse o presidente da entidade, Fatih Birol.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n

Uma prova disso ser\u00e1 vista daqui pouco mais de dois meses, na\u00a0COP28<\/a>. Os combust\u00edveis f\u00f3sseis ser\u00e3o um dos principais pontos de conflito da confer\u00eancia, que acontece no Golfo P\u00e9rsico e ser\u00e1 presidida por um\u00a0executivo do setor petroleiro<\/a>.<\/p>\n

As decis\u00f5es das COPs dependem de consenso, e grandes produtores, notadamente a Ar\u00e1bia Saudita, j\u00e1 deixaram claro que v\u00e3o barrar qualquer tentativa de incluir limites para a produ\u00e7\u00e3o de petr\u00f3leo e g\u00e1s.<\/p>\n

A Opep, o cartel dos grandes produtores de petr\u00f3leo, acusou a ag\u00eancia de incentivar a volatilidade do mercado global depois de Birol anunciar que o\u00a0pico dos combust\u00edveis f\u00f3sseis acontece ainda esta d\u00e9cada<\/a>.<\/p>\n

No front das energias limpas o diagn\u00f3stico \u00e9 mais positivo.<\/p>\n

A ag\u00eancia menciona o sucesso das vendas de carros el\u00e9tricos e dos pain\u00e9is de gera\u00e7\u00e3o solar \u2013 \u201co novo carv\u00e3o, n\u00e3o por causa do clima, mas por causa do [baixo] custo\u201d, afirmou Birol.<\/p>\n

\n

Os investimento em renov\u00e1veis aumentaram 40% em dois anos e atingir\u00e3o US$ 1,8 trilh\u00e3o este ano.<\/p>\n

Mas, para garantir a meta do Acordo de Paris, esse total precisaria passar para US$ 4,5 trilh\u00f5es anuais no come\u00e7o da pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada.<\/p>\n

Esse crescimento corresponderia a uma redu\u00e7\u00e3o de at\u00e9 80% na demanda por combust\u00edveis f\u00f3sseis em 2050.<\/p>\n

H\u00e1 dois anos a AIE j\u00e1 afirma que novos projetos de extra\u00e7\u00e3o n\u00e3o devem ser iniciados se a meta \u00e9 atingir o net zero global.<\/p>\n

A ag\u00eancia tamb\u00e9m estimou o custo de manter a trajet\u00f3ria de 1,5\u00b0 retirando o CO2 da atmosfera, em vez de evitando as emiss\u00f5es.<\/p>\n

\u201cSeria necess\u00e1rio remover quase 5 GtCO2 anualmente na segunda metade do s\u00e9culo.\u201d<\/p>\n

No ano passado, as emiss\u00f5es mundiais foram de 37 GtCO2.<\/p>\n

Al\u00e9m de ainda n\u00e3o comprovada em grande escala, a tecnologia poderia custar US$ 1,3 trilh\u00e3o anuais.<\/p>\n

\u201cTirar carbono da atmosfera \u00e9 caro e incerto. Devemos fazer o poss\u00edvel para evitar lan\u00e7\u00e1-lo\u201d, afirma o levantamento.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Por S\u00e9rgio Teixeira Jr. – ReSet – 26 de setembro de 2023 – Investimentos em renov\u00e1veis ter\u00e3o de passar de US$ 1,8 tri anuais para US$ 4,5 tri nos pr\u00f3ximos sete anos. Ainda h\u00e1 chances de evitar consequ\u00eancias ainda mais graves da mudan\u00e7a clim\u00e1tica, mas isso depender\u00e1 de um corte radical no uso de combust\u00edveis…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":36372,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[12,164,34,71],"post_series":[],"class_list":["post-36371","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-geral","tag-aquecimento-global-global-warming-global-climate-change","tag-co2","tag-energia-renovavel-renewable-energy-energia-limpa","tag-sustentabilidade-viver-sustentavelmente-consumo-sustentavel","entry","has-media"],"yoast_head":"\nNet zero depende de corte de 25% na demanda de f\u00f3sseis at\u00e9 2030 - FUNVERDE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.funverde.org.br\/blog\/?p=36371\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_BR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Net zero depende de corte de 25% na demanda de f\u00f3sseis at\u00e9 2030 - FUNVERDE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Por S\u00e9rgio Teixeira Jr. – ReSet – 26 de setembro de 2023 – Investimentos em renov\u00e1veis ter\u00e3o de passar de US$ 1,8 tri anuais para US$ 4,5 tri nos pr\u00f3ximos sete anos. 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